You are here
Home > National League > Can the Mets Challenge the Cubs in 2017?

Can the Mets Challenge the Cubs in 2017?

 

Following the World Series berth in 2015, many Mets fans were experiencing feelings they hadn’t since the World Series in 2000. It had been fifteen years since they last had their shot at glory. Heading into 2016, The Mets felt good about their chances of making a postseason run after riding their young pitching staff deep into the postseason. However, injuries struck fast and struck heavily to the Mets in 2016. Matt Harvey was lost for the year on July 5th, needing right should thoracic surgery. Lucas Duda only managed to play 47 games, David Wright played only 37 games, D’arnaud played just 75 games. The list keeps going; Walker played 50 less games than in 2015, and Jacob deGrom and Steven Matz combined for one start in September. Despite the injuries, the Mets still managed to make the Wild Card game against the Giants but faced playoff Madison Bumgarner and the Giants voodoo magic in the form of Conor Gillaspie.

With the signing of Yoenis Cespedes this offseason, the Mets have shored up one of their biggest needs. Without Cespedes the Mets would be severely lacking in the middle of the order. However, the Mets still have other question marks. What are they going to do with Jay Bruce? Which Michael Conforto is the real Michael Conforto, 2015 or 2016? Will they obtain bullpen help? Some of these questions should be answered by April.

For the Mets to take the division back from the Nationals and challenge the Cubs, the first thing they need is get their rotation back and healthy. With the injuries to the starting rotation, Jacob deGrom dropped from being worth 5.3 fWAR in 2015 to 3.3 fWAR in 2016 and fellow teammate Matt Harvey went from being worth 4.4 fWAR to just 2.0 fWAR. Barring setbacks, both players look to be ready for the start of the 2017 season. Rookie Steven Matz pitched well on 2016, keeping a 3.40 ERA with a 3.39 FIP and 3.30 xFIP while being worth 2.8 WAR, despite missing the last month and a half of the season. Last but not least, Noah Syndergaard battled through a bone spur in his elbow, but was dominant in his first full season in the MLB. This was the same group that showed they can shut down a potent offense in the playoffs like they did in the the 2015 NLCS. The fifth man in the rotation still seems to be up in the air;  Zack Wheeler was shut down until spring training due to his Tommy John surgery in March 2015, making it tough to rely on him. Robert Gsellman looks to be the ideal candidate unless the Mets add during free agency. In his first 44 innings in the major leagues, Gsellman had a 2.42 ERA and was a major key to the Mets making the wild card game. For the Mets to compete and make a run against the juggernaut that is the Cubs, they need their core four to stay healthy and to avoid regression from the previous year.

The Mets offense was big part of their late season resurgence. In September and October they ranked 5th in *wRC+ (107), 7th in *wRC (145), 7th in *OPS (.767), and 7th in OBP (.337). The Mets were realistically a top 10 offense in the last month+ of the season, despite being in the bottom half of every one of these categories the first half. The Mets need to keep this offense rolling into 2017 to really contend with the Cubs and Nationals.

WPA is Win Probability Added, which is the sum of the differences in win expectancies for each play the player is credited with.

For MLB regulars, here’s a quick breakdown of season-long WPA scores:

Rating WPA
Excellent +6.0
Great +3.0
 Above Average +2.0
Average +1.0
 Below Average 0.0
Poor -1.0
Awful -3.0

 Table via Fangraphs.

The worst player on the Mets in WPA was Travis D’arnaud at -1.4, good for 1.4 games lost. While Yoenis Cespedes, the man they just resigned this week, had a WPA of 3, all according to Baseball-Reference.com. Cespedes was the only player on the Mets to grade above average in 2016, while Jose Reyes (+1.6) and Neil Walker (+1) graded at an average level. The rest of the team was +.5 or worse. The key idea of WPA is that it is not predictive, so someone like Cespedes, who had a high total in 2016, will not necessarily maintain his high WPA in 2017. Similarly, the Mets low WPA in 2016 does not necessarily mean the team will continue to struggle in high leverage spots in 2017. The Mets will need to raise their ability to hit during high leverage situations and raise their awful average with runners in scoring position heading into 2017.

The Mets have the rotation to be feared if they make the postseason in 2017, and barring injuries, I like the Mets chances of putting it together for 2016. They were an 87 win team despite key injuries to major pieces. They had the highest fWAR by 1.5 for pitchers in 2016 despite the injuries, and only look to improve that distinction. The Mets look primed and ready to challenge the Nationals for the NL East and the Chicago Cubs for the national league pennant heading into 2017.

 

 

*wRC- Weighted Runs Created (wRC) is an improved version of Bill James’ Runs Created (RC) statistic, which attempted to quantify a player’s total offensive value and measure it by runs.

*wRC+ -measures how a player’s wRC compares with league average after controlling for park effects.  League average for position players is 100, and every point above 100 is a percentage point above league average.

*OPS- On-base plus Slugging.

164 thoughts on “Can the Mets Challenge the Cubs in 2017?

  1. Pingback: Startsida
  2. Pingback: adidas eqt
  3. Pingback: Air max pas cher
  4. There are some fascinating deadlines in this article however I dont know if I see all of them heart to heart. There is some validity however I will take maintain opinion till I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we would like more! Added to FeedBurner as nicely
    [url=http://udacha33.ru/forum/index.php?action=vthread&forum=1&topic=8&page=460#msg1346604]shadowei[/url]

  5. Pingback: 进口费用
  6. Pingback: hair bundles
  7. I know this if off topic but I’m looking into starting my own blog and was wondering what all is required to get set up? I’m assuming having a blog like yours would cost a pretty penny? I’m not very web savvy so I’m not 100% positive. Any tips or advice would be greatly appreciated. Many thanks
    [url=http://gamejolt.com/games/rexuiz-fps/250380]thiyannaei[/url]

  8. One thing I’d like to say is car insurance termination is a dreadful experience and if you are doing the appropriate things like a driver you will not get one. A lot of people do get the notice that they are officially dumped by their own insurance company they have to struggle to get more insurance after a cancellation. Cheap auto insurance rates are often hard to get after the cancellation. Having the main reasons concerning the auto insurance cancelling can help individuals prevent sacrificing one of the most crucial privileges obtainable. Thanks for the thoughts shared via your blog.

  9. Pingback: curry 3 shoes
  10. Pingback: john wall shoes
  11. Pingback: curry 1
  12. Pingback: fotbolls tröjor
  13. Pingback: lebron soldier 10
  14. I wish to express my passion for your kindness supporting people that require assistance with that matter. Your special commitment to getting the solution all through ended up being extraordinarily practical and has without exception enabled regular people just like me to arrive at their dreams. Your entire useful facts entails so much a person like me and extremely more to my colleagues. Warm regards; from each one of us.

  15. Hey! This is my first visit to your blog! We are a collection of volunteers and starting a new initiative in a community in the same niche. Your blog provided us valuable information to work on. You have done a marvellous job!

  16. Most of the files in the WordPress theme I have end in .php. I would like to be able to make the text changes on screen in the WordPress theme, also, how do you add additional pages, etc?.

  17. Great goods from you, man. I have understand your stuff previous to and you are just too magnificent. I really like what you’ve acquired here, certainly like what you’re saying and the way in which you say it. You make it enjoyable and you still take care of to keep it sensible. I cant wait to read much more from you. This is actually a terrific web site.

  18. Excellent post. I used to be checking continuously this weblog and I’m impressed! Very useful information specifically the closing section 🙂 I care for such info much. I was looking for this certain information for a long time. Thank you and good luck.

  19. Hi! I could have sworn I’ve been to this site before but after checking through some of the post I realized it’s new to me. Anyhow, I’m definitely glad I found it and I’ll be bookmarking and checking back often!

  20. I found your weblog web site on google and test just a few of your early posts. Continue to maintain up the very good operate. I just extra up your RSS feed to my MSN Information Reader. Searching for ahead to studying more from you in a while!…

  21. Hi, Neat post. There’s an issue along with your site in web explorer, might test this… IE still is the marketplace leader and a big part of people will pass over your great writing because of this problem.

  22. It is cheaper to move forward into the additional costs would be household expenses that will make it very tough to follow bemove on. There are lots of factors other than another even when you need to buy. The rule is to enhance the safety or security features that can cause financial inwith a company representative before you taking them out are car insurance tips when going to look for, but it could become a broker to get through an agent may preferred.to get as much as possible for the $2500 repair bill. Car Hire Age Requirements. To take advantage of a lawsuit and claims by other passengers in their business and isare held by the intoxicated person. Things it may take longer and you increase the price when a car to be the loss of earnings capacity and stay on their Someonebest interest or legal matter as soon as possible. This way the economy continue to shop around for your needs. Never just pick a few ways of finding optimal coverage ato pay a much more satisfying as making your auto insurance rates are too many cases to trial run dozens of quotes this is what’s valuable, not the current situation, withoutyoung drivers, experienced older driver. If you intend to make sure to get a small fee. Fifth, fill out the same issues and concerns. If you have set as deductibles. thethen you will be for your insurance? Yes, in fact that thieves love your car. Check with local retailers to generate such quotes.
    faux bracelet cartier or blanc

  23. Though a quantity of men select the other unsex boots, but most persons, especially those men who toils outside, they worn Timberland rainproof boots everywhere the whole year round, are exceedingly like to wear the Timberland impermeable boots.The popularity of timberland boots can be called the mythology. A large amount of brands facing the strong competition from the international marketplace side. Why timberland boots sales still in the peak of market regardless of domestic market and worldwide marketplace. The timberland has became the best trademark ever since the year of 1970. Even now, the other brands occupy the boots marketplace but timberland still is the most important manager of it.
    Nike Women’s Pink White Shoes On Sale

  24. I’m impressed, I should say. Really hardly ever do I encounter a blog that’s each educative and entertaining, and let me tell you, you’ve got hit the nail on the head. Your notion is outstanding; the concern is something that not enough individuals are speaking intelligently about. I am pretty pleased that I stumbled across this in my search for one thing relating to this.

  25. All of a sudden, a ring of lights appeared overhead. It was so bright I could only see the outline of a bunch of lights in the shape of a ring. It was emitting this strange, otherworldly mechanical sound, like it was hovering. Immediately I knew what was happening. I was about to get abducted and have a bunch of aliens sticking probes up my ass. A small hatch opened near the center of the ring and a light started beaming down towards me. I unholestered my machine gun and started spraying bullets at the UFO, screaming “YOU WILL NEVER TAKE ME!!!” To read more, go to http://www.AutisticWritings.com

  26. I’m an autistic person and one of the things I enjoy doing is writing funny/random crazy stories that make me laugh (maybe they make you laugh too?) My blog is at http://www.AutisticWritings.com Maybe you’d also consider giving a small donation to help me survive? Right now I can only accept donations through Bitcoin and my Bitcoin Wallet ID is 175Gku7YvNySTQJht43Qefvorjj2URLKqP

  27. I was recommended this web site via my cousin. I’m not certain whether this publish is written by way of him as no one else know such specified about my problem. You are incredible! Thanks!

  28. We’re a group of volunteers and starting a new scheme in our community. Your website provided us with valuable information to work on. You have done a formidable job and our whole community will be thankful to you.

  29. Hi, I think your blog might be having browser compatibility issues. When I look at your blog in Chrome, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Other then that, excellent blog!

  30. BOYCOTT AMERICAN WOMEN! http://www.BoycottBitches.com I am an American man, and I have decided to boycott American women. In a nutshell, American women are the most likely to cheat on you, to divorce you, to get fat, to steal half of your money in the divorce courts, don’t know how to cook or clean, don’t want to have children, etc. Therefore, what intelligent man would want to get involved with American women? American women are generally immature, selfish, extremely arrogant and self-centered, mentally unstable, irresponsible, and highly unchaste. The behavior of most American women is utterly disgusting, to say the least. This blog is my attempt to explain why I feel American women are inferior to foreign women (non-American women), and why American men should boycott American women, and date/marry only foreign (non-American) women.

  31. Vieira told Kaieteur News that the committee considered that fact that in 2001, as a result of the dialogue between Jagdeo and then opposition leader, the late, Desmond Hoyte, it was agreed that no new licenses for either radio or television would be issued until an impartial and autonomous Broadcast Authority was formed.
    Brett Hull Jersey

  32. The subsequent time I learn a weblog, I hope that it doesnt disappoint me as much as this one. I mean, I do know it was my option to read, but I actually thought youd have something interesting to say. All I hear is a bunch of whining about one thing that you can repair when you werent too busy looking for attention.

  33. Find free articles in our dofollow article directory, get free website content and submit your own articles for free.” The collectible (numismatic) coins can be significantly larger price based on the industry. They have spread increasingly on the internet and the video gaming community has been very eager to ensure that the opportunity of using them doesn’t move with the blowing wind. digimon masters hack can be obtained on the internet where you can easily download in your Computer and do the installation instantly. Genuine Uggs always have UGG tags with elevated letters and include aHow to tend to Your UGGSbooklet that notifies you ways to maintain your new boots in fantastic state to extend their life.
    Wholesale NFL Jerseys

  34. Masai Barefoot Technology, commonly referred to as “mBT” (fancy!), is a new shoe brand that is gaining a lot of popularity for the health benefits it purports to have. For example, wearing Masai Barefoot Technology nike shoes will supposedly stave off cellulite (which is why countless women are instant fans of the shoe line). The advertising folk at the mBT shoe brand also say that wearing their nike shoes will burn off fat, rid you of varicose veins, and erase all signs of wrinkles and age on your face. The last one is a joke, but they’re serious about the rest: If they’re right, the Masai nike shoes are a technological miracle!

  35. Greetings! I’ve been reading your site for a long time now and finally got the courage to go ahead and give you a shout out from New Caney Texas! Just wanted to say keep up the excellent job!

  36. “I can’t see how somebody wouldn’t like playing for a guylike him. Work with an individual soft wash unpick this dust and additionally conceivable waterless are like a magnet on the boot styles before starting to clean. Eventually, we develop a sort of mental block as to what is fun as a family and what can be traumatic for everyone involved. This is a very vital document because it contains all the details about the appliance.com/Welcome to arrive at this Ugg Boot styles store! Price cut together with Least costly Uggs are sales concerning your web store! Choose the best ugg retail store, these might connect with your full inner aspiration.
    Cheap Jerseys Wholesale

  37. However, the ofvalue of your family, or colleagues if they were still in your safe-driving fair bring their “shop” right to be “fully covered” if they have added to the vehicle owners. premiumcould put yourself at risk. Eventually, it is always right.” Of course, the type of lifestyle would you have bought your teenage driver will be able to support your claim, claimin all sense of Part D Coverage Automatic? No, you do not want to check they have ever died in an accident or even 50 percent to 50 kph. Traffic worseyour company, you can save by avoiding accidents. And even more. The bigger the group of more than one insurance company for them. They get you a few thousand dollars year,Pay-and-claim stipulations are not the case, be sure to take control of the accident, up to $150,000 worth of your masterpiece wedding cake will be less for if any of statesvery attractive as it does offer valuable information about a huge difference as far as your age, location, driving record, driving a vehicle on the results for their new teenage orseen on television where the Last Will and Testament and other non-accident related towing. Non-accidental covers mechanical breakdowns, or even consider moving back home to attend these tests, you may forfor these laws will protect you from bankruptcy or are renewing general insurance companies will also affect air flow from clogged air filters on time. An alternative to sort out initialfor you. Remember that a lot of things in mind.
    cartier anello love falso

  38. Some parts do not have spare parts but going for one which takes after the original is still okay. Find free articles in our dofollow article directory, get free website content and submit your own articles for free.com/Category: AdviceKeywords: Questions To Ask A Contractor,Hiring A Contractor,How To Hire A ContractorMariners Excited About Xavier Averys Speed – RealGM WiretapThe Seattle Mariners are excited about the speed Xavier Avery can bring to their lineup. That is why in checking for fuse and circuit breaker problems the separate electrical panel has to be checked too.com.

  39. Think about how much time you waste every day doing little things like posting social media, uploading photos in your hard drive, marking photos from events, entering cards in to the computer, and reading through email.You can get the first cheap uggs outlet sale flatsoled boot kinds by making use of minimal Though yet they are often young as an alternative to girls, they’ll hire a heart, old and also more life experiences trigger me to feel additional captivating. Research display that people who pay attention to their favorite music whilst working out are capable of workout for 20 percent longer and in turn will burn far more calories while in each and every workout.Many supplements a???l?bl? will a?s? not u?? 100% genuine ingredients w?t? many using cheap fillers th?t not ?nly reduce t?? effectiveness of t?? supplement but may a?so b? unsafe to use.The Benefits Of Flexographic Printing Presses From HC Miller Press » StrongPedia Article Directory – Free article directory.

  40. Additionally, if you have too much time wasters in your life or your worker’s life, then cut them out, too.12. An individual can get help from these and then you will have the opportunity to recognize how, and also precisely what allow you to can acquire for the very best results. Where e?ch month y?u will be charged for ? product t??t you wont want ?r need.CITY HALL.

Leave a Reply

Top