You are here
Home > Fantasy Baseball > 2017 Fantasy Baseball Target: Yasmani Grandal

2017 Fantasy Baseball Target: Yasmani Grandal

The number of Yasmani Grandal fans in fantasy baseball has been on the rise for years now.  Grandal was never a disappointment, but was also lacking a defining season. The 2016 season definitely jumps off Grandal’s stat sheet, with 27 home runs, 72 RBI, an .816 OPS, all good for a 122 wRC+.

The power spike drove Grandal’s increased value, but his terrible batting average likely kept the total dollars earned limited for the season. To illustrate this point we can use the ESPN Player Rater. For those unfamiliar, the Player Rater will assign a value to all of the statistics available in the pool and then assign point totals for each rotisserie category to individual players based on their performance.

When it came to the home run category Grandal was second best at the catcher position, good for 1.72 points on the Player Rater. Remaining in elite statistical company at the position, Grandal was 5th best in RBI, good for 1.21 points on the Player Rater. Grandal was even 12th in the Runs category, good for a small positive contribution (0.44).

Then Grandal pays the batting average tax and a chunk of his 2016 value is immediately reclaimed. Coming in 96th in the batting average category (BA), Grandal returned 1.17 points on the Player Rater. Think about that, essentially all the value Grandal generated via the RBI category (remember, 5th best at the position!), was erased due to his poor batting average.

Despite giving back massive amounts of production due to his batting average, Grandal still finished as the 7th best catcher on the Player Rater. The batting average bar at the catcher position is very low. If Grandal could hit .260 instead of sub .230 next season, he jumps from my mid tier to the high tier of catchers.

Yasmani Grandal is a target for me in 2017 because there’s more batting average ability in his profile.

Using the Plate Discipline numbers available on FanGraphs, we can compare certain actions performed by Grandal while at the plate against the major league average. For example, the average O-Swing% (times a batter swings at a pitch outside of the strike zone) in 2016 was 30.3%. Grandal’s O-Swing% last season was 23.3%, which stays in line with his career 23.6% rate. Grandal has consistently shown the ability to not swing at pitchers outside of the strike zone as often as the league average. Grandal has also traditionally swung slightly less than average on pitchers inside the zone as well (62.3% in 2016 versus the league average rate of 66.7%). When it’s all said and done, Grandal continued his tendency to swing the bat (swing %) roughly 5.5% less than league average.

This alone does not mean a batting average correction is coming however.

What has me optimistic regarding Grandal is his ability to make contact inside the strike zone, as well as his overall swinging strike rate (SwStr%). In 2016 the league average zone contact rate (Z-Contact %) was 86.3% – Grandal had an 84.5 Z-Contact % last season. His SwStr% was 10.1%, exactly the same as the league average rate last year. The drop in Grandal’s overall contact% was driven by a 55.5% O-Contact% (contact on pitches outside of the strike zone). This is a double-edged sword however, as driving pitches outside of the zone with authority is much more difficult of a task.

Using the Zone Breakdown Analysis found at Baseball Savant via, we can display the difference in exit velocity between pitches inside the zone and outside of the zone.









The chart above shows that when Grandal swings and makes contact on pitches inside the zone, he hits the ball with authority. When contact is made on pitches outside of the zone however, the exit velocity is much worse. Remember, Grandal swings at pitches outside of the zone considerably less than the league average rate, while also displaying an ability to make contact inside the zone at the league average rate.

The hope for a .250 + batting average season comes down to Grandal’s ability to hit the ball really hard. Using the Batted Ball data from FanGraphs, we can see that Grandal has a hard hit rate (Hard%) of 38.9% last season. This was up considerably from the 30.0% he displayed in 2015 and much closer to the 35.8% from 2014. For context, the league had a Hard% of 31.4% in 2016.

We can also view Grandal’s Statcast Averages found on his page. With an average exit velocity 4 MPH higher than the league average rate and an average generated velocity of 4.05 (1.45 league average), Grandal clearly possesses the “hit ball hard” skill.

The last bit of data we can mine from Statcast is a new feature they call “Barrels”. Essentially, for a ball in play to be classified as a Barrel, it must meet both an exit velocity rate, as well as a certain launch angle range. From this a statistic called Brls/BBE was created. This will show us the percent of Barrels per batted ball in play. Grandal was 17th in the majors last season among all hitters with at least 190 batted ball events (13.9%). The estimated batting average / slugging percentage for this type of contact is .500/1.500 – that’s impressive.

Batting average can be a fickle category to try to nail down in a projection. As Ron Shandler has mentioned for years, the difference between essentially hitting .275 and .250 on the season, is two hits per month. If I am looking for a player who could take their batting average from horrible to merely acceptable and in turn increase their rotisserie value, someone who stings the hell out of the ball consistently would be where I place my bet.

Grandal is that type of hitter.

2017 Projection:

Player Pos. AB Runs HR RBI SB BA OBP
Yasmani Grandal C 385 50 24 65 1 0.250 0.350

Market Analysis:

Grandal is currently being selected as the 8th catcher off the board (NFBC ADP: 145th overall). Remember, last season he finished as the 7th most valuable catcher according to the ESPN Player Rater. At this price and with the potential to outperform his batting average history, Grandal is a 2017 fantasy baseball target for me at the catcher position.

What are your thoughts on his potential for the upcoming season? Leave them in the comments below.

Photo Credit: Arturo Pardavila III
Dave Morris Jr.
Creator of the 2017 Fantasy Baseball Draft Guide. Fantasy Baseball veteran. Multiple year champion in both single league and mixed league formats. Also a Seattle Mariner fan who blindly believes this year will be "the year".

186 thoughts on “2017 Fantasy Baseball Target: Yasmani Grandal

  1. Pingback: Nyhistoria
  2. Pingback: Ny side 5
  3. Pingback: kd shoes
  4. Pingback: nike kobe 10
  5. Pingback: 0086-574-8710 3636
  6. Pingback: cheap vera bradley
  7. Pingback: vans shoes
  8. Pingback: kobe bryant shoes
  9. Pingback: Air max pas cher
  10. Pingback: 食品进口代理
  11. Pingback: lebron shoes
  12. Pingback: Coil Assembly
  13. Pingback: adidas tubular
  14. Pingback: kyrie 1
  15. Pingback: Foam Tape
  16. Pingback: yeezy boost
  17. I have been surfing online more than three hours today, yet I never found any interesting article like yours. It is pretty worth enough for me. In my opinion, if all webmasters and bloggers made good content as you did, the web will be much more useful than ever before.

  18. Pingback: Advertising Light
  19. There are some interesting closing dates on this article however I don’t know if I see all of them middle to heart. There may be some validity however I will take hold opinion till I look into it further. Good article , thanks and we want more! Added to FeedBurner as effectively

  20. Pingback: air jordan shoes
  21. of course like your website but you need to take a look at the spelling on several of your posts. Several of them are rife with spelling problems and I find it very bothersome to inform the reality on the other hand I will definitely come again again.

  22. Pingback: lebron soldier 10
  23. Pingback: lebron 14
  24. Pingback: School Lunches
  25. Pingback: lebron soldier 10
  26. Magnificent items from you, man. I have have in mind your stuff prior to and you’re just extremely excellent. I actually like what you’ve obtained here, certainly like what you are stating and the way in which wherein you are saying it. You’re making it enjoyable and you continue to take care of to keep it wise. I cant wait to learn much more from you. This is actually a terrific site.

  27. I am curious to find out what blog system you happen to be working with? I’m experiencing some small security problems with my latest blog and I would like to find something more risk-free. Do you have any solutions?

  28. Undeniably consider that that you stated. Your favourite reason seemed to be on the web the easiest thing to be aware of. I say to you, I definitely get irked while other folks think about concerns that they plainly don’t realize about. You controlled to hit the nail upon the highest and also defined out the entire thing without having side effect , other folks could take a signal. Will likely be again to get more. Thanks

  29. My spouse and i ended up being so comfortable when Chris could finish off his research using the ideas he received from your own weblog. It is now and again perplexing to just possibly be giving for free tricks that people today have been making money from. We understand we’ve got the writer to thank for this. All of the illustrations you made, the easy website navigation, the relationships you assist to promote – it is many sensational, and it’s assisting our son and us do think this content is awesome, which is extraordinarily vital. Thanks for the whole thing!

  30. I want to make my own Blogger layout because none of the ones I have found incorporate my Header correctly/match with my Header that I want to use. Is there a website that can teach me how to do this? (I also do not have Photoshop, so I need to use another software than that to design). Thank you!.

  31. I have read a few good stuff here. Definitely worth bookmarking for revisiting. I wonder how much effort you put to create such a excellent informative web site.

  32. Hmm it seems like your website ate my first comment (it was extremely long) so I guess I’ll just sum it up what I submitted and say, I’m thoroughly enjoying your blog. I as well am an aspiring blog writer but I’m still new to everything. Do you have any points for first-time blog writers? I’d certainly appreciate it.

  33. Get Free 1000 Instagram Followers to get extra exposure for your website or business. It’s totally free, just by joining SuperstarInstar and inviting few friends.

  34. Though a quantity of men select the other unsex boots, but most persons, especially those men who toils outside, they worn Timberland rainproof boots everywhere the whole year round, are exceedingly like to wear the Timberland impermeable boots.The popularity of timberland boots can be called the mythology. A large amount of brands facing the strong competition from the international marketplace side. Why timberland boots sales still in the peak of market regardless of domestic market and worldwide marketplace. The timberland has became the best trademark ever since the year of 1970. Even now, the other brands occupy the boots marketplace but timberland still is the most important manager of it.

  35. Hey very nice website!! Man .. Beautiful .. Amazing .. I will bookmark your website and take the feeds also…I’m happy to find so many useful information here in the post, we need work out more techniques in this regard, thanks for sharing. . . . . .

  36. Can I just say what a relief to find an individual who in fact knows what theyre talking about on the web. You unquestionably know tips on how to bring an problem to light and make it vital. Far more persons really need to read this and have an understanding of this side of the story. I cant think youre not extra preferred simply because you surely have the gift.

  37. I want to change my Blogger/Blogspot background into a picture I want instead of the ugly plain ones that provide you with.. . I tried looking up on google how to change it but it only came up with how to change the background with the old Blogger. . . HELP!.
    Air max pas cher

  38. It is appropriate time to make some plans for the future and it is time to be happy. I have read this post and if I could I desire to suggest you some interesting things or advice. Maybe you can write next articles referring to this article. I wish to read even more things about it!

  39. Hello, I think your site might be having browser compatibility issues. When I look at your website in Chrome, it looks fine but when opening in Internet Explorer, it has some overlapping. I just wanted to give you a quick heads up! Other then that, amazing blog!

  40. I’ll right away seize your rss as I can’t to find your e-mail subscription hyperlink or e-newsletter service. Do you’ve any? Kindly let me know so that I may just subscribe. Thanks.

  41. I am not positive the place you’re getting your information, but great topic. I needs to spend a while finding out much more or figuring out more. Thanks for excellent info I used to be looking for this information for my mission.

  42. I like the valuable info you provide in your articles. I will bookmark your blog and check again here frequently. I’m quite sure I will learn many new stuff right here! Best of luck for the next!

  43. Ive never ever read anything like this before. So nice to find somebody with some original thoughts on this subject, really thank you for starting this up. this web-site is one thing that is required on the web, someone having a small originality. valuable job for bringing some thing new towards the web!

  44. Iím not that much of a online reader to be honest but your blogs really nice, keep it up! I’ll go ahead and bookmark your website to come back in the future. Many thanks

  45. Oh my goodness! an incredible article dude. Thanks Nonetheless I’m experiencing issue with ur rss . Don’t know why Unable to subscribe to it. Is there anyone getting equivalent rss downside? Anyone who knows kindly respond. Thnkx

  46. Most child get happy over the slightest things and when they see something that is colorful or can allow them have fun, they will definitely be excited and joyful. RCV 074 822, currently on appeal at the California Fourth District Court of Appeal. Now, however, they are realizing that they bid more than they can expect to recover from a pool of loans and therefore new charges, overcharges or other abuses have become more prevalent. They’re just called the foremost comfortable in addition to warmest sneakers on the earth and are constructed of prime quality Aussie fleece jacket in addition to sheepskin. You have to manage your time as well as your circumstances.
    Cheap Jerseys

  47. Ranjisinghi ‘Bobby’ RamroopNew GPC’s rep on board, Ravie RamcharitarAs more details emerge over the questionable financial structure of the Berbice River Bridge, there are disclosures that as part of the sweetheart deal, the Bharrat Jagdeo administration granted New GPC and other private investors sweeping tax exemptions on their returns.
    NFL Jerseys Wholesale

  48. The tan level produced by indoor tanners depend on how much DHA is added to the formulation. The appropriate repair for the boot styles may well very last your shoes’ lifetime comfortably.James Malinchak Don’t Sweat The Small Stuff Delegate ItJames Malinchak Don’t Sweat The Small Stuff Delegate ItSeptember 29, 2013 Author: Matthew Maxwell Posted in MarketingHaving been in business for myself for many years, I have come to understand that the most essential thing I have done for myself would be to delegate the small stuff.FARMERS MARKET.BASEBALL.
    Wholesale Jerseys China Cheap

  49. Read on for tips about running a home business.Chart all of the exercises that you do on a spreadsheet, in the event you are browsing to maximize your outcomes.12. Beforepurchasing used flexo equipment it is important to make sure that thefacility is equipped for housing these printing presses. He can be reached at: socaldebtcollectionabuse.
    Cheap Nike Jerseys

  50. A ten year old kid actor in this brawny attitude and three-year-old talk, but fortunately was on the third floor, no one saw,MBT Tupu or do not provoke a bunch of weird eyes? First of all, I tell you business model. The first step is to give a name county wineries,wine also.There are as many different heels as different kinds of shoes.You can find older styles for under two hundred dollars but the newer styles exceed that price by about fifty dollars.Brick mode of operation,mbt shoes management and pay model to be altered, as far as standardization of some.
    nike running shoes sale

  51. When you are looking for warm and really cozy coolest camping gear, look no further than Ukala boots. Ukala is the legendary Australian fashion brand that is known to product the most comfortable and exciting footwear designs. The coolest camping gear designed by the manufacturer are highly sought after in the International market. In this article, we will discuss a little more in detail about Ukala coolest camping gear and find out where to buy them at the best price.The collection by Ukala represents the elements of modern lifestyle. They are the perfect footwear for modern men and women looking for comfortable and stylish boots. The colorful tones used in making the product makes them all the more special. The footwear designs are also cool and urban. They use the premium quality material such as the natural suede and Australia Merino wool. They enable the feet to breathe easily and feel really comfortable.
    best camping gear

  52. “More importantly, BBCI plays an integral part in the development of the nearby communities through its support to education, sports, supported national events and many charitable and non – charitable organizations in Regions Five and Six.

  53. Hobo Handbags for Noble women: These are also great option as handbags for noble women; yet again these are large in size and can be easily carried over the shoulders. These are perfect for those of you who want to appear a little more elegant and sophisticated than others. Although it is a good source to carry your bulky items most easily but still it manages to give you very famine and appealing look. Hobo bags have various styles and materials for you to pick one that you love.
    Best Backpack

  54. Hobo Handbags for Noble women: These are also great option as handbags for noble women; yet again these are large in size and can be easily carried over the shoulders. These are perfect for those of you who want to appear a little more elegant and sophisticated than others. Although it is a good source to carry your bulky items most easily but still it manages to give you very famine and appealing look. Hobo bags have various styles and materials for you to pick one that you love.
    Best Backpack

  55. An analysis by the Associated Press shows that of the 38 servicers that are being paid by the government as part of the federal loan modification program, 30 are facing lawsuits for charging illegally high fees, prematurely foreclosing on homes and engaging in illegal collection practices. A San Bernardino, California jury returned a verdict to the plaintiffs for over $800,000.You could make a lot happen for the company to spend your time writing books, following up with clients, creating content, holding boot camps, etc.You can’t continue to keep at the pace you’re going whilst doing what you are doing.BOWLING.

Leave a Reply